Iowa clout quantified
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Economists at Brown University released a study this week that says voters in Iowa and New Hampshire have up to 20 times the influence of voters in other states.
Brian Knight and Nathan Schiff developed a statistical model that shows the results in early nominating contests have a strong influence on subsequent contests.
“Clearly, the primary calendar plays a key role in the selection of the nominee,” said Knight, a
professor at the Providence, R.I., university.
He said the influence is so great that it violates the ideal of “one person-one vote.”
The economists say that John Kerry would have had a more difficult road to the Democratic Party nomination in 2004 if Iowa and New Hampshire didn’t have such a strong influence.
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